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Home Business & Economy

U.S. Markets Slide as Trump’s Tax-Cut Bill Sparks Fiscal Fears and Republican Rift

May 21, 2025
in Business & Economy
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U.S. stock index futures fell sharply on Wednesday, reflecting growing investor unease over fiscal policy uncertainties tied to President Donald Trump’s embattled tax-cut bill.

The proposed legislation, which Trump has championed as a “big, beautiful bill,” has exposed deep divisions within the Republican Party, with infighting threatening its passage.

Meanwhile, Treasury yields surged, with the 30-year note hitting 5% and the benchmark 10-year yield rising 5.6 basis points to 4.53%, adding pressure on equity markets.

The House Rules Committee, a critical gatekeeper for legislative proposals, has scheduled an extraordinary 1 a.m. ET hearing to debate the tax bill, with discussions expected to stretch into the early morning hours.

This unusual timing underscores the urgency and contention surrounding the legislation, which has faced resistance from a broad swath of Republican lawmakers. Despite Trump’s efforts to rally support during a Tuesday meeting with party members, holdouts remain unconvinced, objecting to specific provisions in the bill.

The fiscal anxiety gripping markets was compounded by a recent downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating by Moody’s, which lowered the rating from “Aaa” to “Aa1” earlier this week.

The downgrade, citing the nation’s ballooning $36-trillion debt, has intensified concerns about the sustainability of U.S. fiscal policy, particularly in light of Trump’s proposed tax cuts and ongoing tariff policies.

Daniel Bergvall, head of economic forecasting at SEB, noted, “When tariffs and uncertainty reduce growth, further questions are also raised about how the U.S. federal deficit will be affected by the economy.”

In premarket trading, major stock indexes reflected the mounting concerns. At 4:51 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis dropped 263 points, or 0.61%, while S&P 500 E-minis fell 34.75 points, or 0.58%, and Nasdaq 100 E-minis declined 134 points, or 0.62%.

High-growth technology stocks, sensitive to rising interest rates, were hit particularly hard. Nvidia, a darling of the tech sector, led losses among megacap stocks, slipping nearly 1% as higher Treasury yields discounted the present value of future profits.

The broader market has also been rattled by company-specific developments. Wolfspeed, a semiconductor supplier, saw its shares plummet 55.3% to $1.4 after reports surfaced that the company is preparing to file for bankruptcy within weeks.

Cybersecurity firm Palo Alto Networks also stumbled, falling 3.7% after reporting a 12% increase in third-quarter operating expenses, despite revenue aligning with expectations.

Investors are bracing for a slew of earnings reports from major retailers, including Target, TJX Cos, and Lowe’s, all set to release results before the market opens. These reports come as the earnings season nears its close, with over 90% of S&P 500 companies having already reported.

All eyes are also on Nvidia, the AI industry leader, which is slated to announce its earnings next week, potentially influencing market sentiment.

Despite Tuesday’s losses, which saw the S&P 500 snap a six-day winning streak and the Dow record its first decline in four sessions, U.S. stocks have enjoyed a robust month.

The S&P 500 has climbed more than 17% from its April lows, buoyed by a temporary U.S.-China trade truce, a pause in tariff escalations, and tame inflation data. However, the index remains about 3% shy of its all-time highs, with policy uncertainty continuing to cast a shadow.

Adding to the complex economic backdrop, Federal Reserve officials have signaled caution in response to Trump’s tariff policies, which they expect to drive up prices. On Tuesday, Fed officials emphasized the need for patience before making any interest-rate decisions, as inflationary pressures from tariffs could complicate monetary policy.

In a rare optimistic note, brokerage Morgan Stanley upgraded its stance on U.S. equities to “overweight,” citing a global economy that, while slowing, continues to expand. However, the brokerage acknowledged that policy uncertainty remains a significant hurdle for investors.

WHAT YOU SHOULD KNOW

As the House Rules Committee prepares for its late-night showdown, the fate of Trump’s tax-cut bill hangs in the balance, with far-reaching implications for markets and the broader economy.

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