Prime Minister Keir Starmer

UK Economy Records Modest Growth Amid Trade Uncertainty

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Britain’s economy saw slight growth at the end of 2024, expanding by 0.1% in the fourth quarter after a stagnant third quarter, according to data from the Office for National Statistics.

The improvement offers a brief respite to Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s Labour government, which has made economic expansion a central focus since assuming office in July. Initial forecasts had predicted a slight contraction, making this marginal growth a small but welcome surprise. However, the broader economic outlook remains uncertain, particularly as inflationary pressures persist and global trade tensions escalate.

The Bank of England recently cut its growth forecast for 2025, predicting a mere 0.75% expansion for the year, down from an earlier estimate. The central bank cited global economic risks, including tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump, as key factors contributing to the slowdown. This follows a 0.9% growth rate recorded in 2024, with a slight boost of 0.4% in December helping to lift fourth-quarter figures. Despite this, economic performance remains fragile, with the services and construction sectors contributing to growth while production output declined.

Finance Minister Rachel Reeves reaffirmed the government’s commitment to economic growth, emphasizing regulatory reforms to stimulate infrastructure development and improve living standards. She acknowledged the challenges faced over the past 14 years, pledging to accelerate efforts to boost incomes and economic activity. However, concerns loom over Trump’s tariffs, which could significantly impact British exports, particularly in the steel industry.

The UK government has taken a cautious approach in its response, stating that it is “engaging” with the United States to clarify the impact of these trade restrictions.

In contrast, Canada and the European Union have issued stronger responses. Seeking to maintain a positive relationship with its key ally, Prime Minister Starmer expressed confidence in the UK’s economic ties with the US, pledging continued cooperation with President Trump to drive job creation and investment. Despite these diplomatic efforts, Britain faces a challenging road ahead as it navigates trade uncertainties and strives for sustained economic recovery.

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