President Donald Trump announced on Friday that Pakistani delegation will visit the United States next week to negotiate a potential trade deal, as Pakistan faces looming 29% tariffs on its exports due to a $3 billion trade surplus with the U.S.
The announcement, made at Joint Base Andrews after Trump disembarked from Air Force One, comes amid heightened tensions in South Asia and ongoing trade discussions with neighboring India.
The proposed tariffs target countries with significant trade surpluses with the U.S., with Pakistan’s surplus drawing particular scrutiny. The South Asian nation, heavily reliant on textile and agricultural exports, risks significant economic disruption if the tariffs are imposed.
Pakistani officials are expected to push for exemptions or reduced rates during the upcoming talks, though details of their proposals remain undisclosed.
Trump, however, issued a stark warning, emphasizing that any deal with Pakistan or India would be off the table if the two nations descended into conflict.
The nuclear-armed rivals engaged in four days of intense fighting earlier this month, deploying fighter jets, missiles, drones, and artillery in their worst clashes in decades. The violence, centered along their disputed border in Kashmir, has heightened global concerns about regional stability.
Pakistan and India, they’ve got to sort things out. If they’re fighting each other, I’m not interested in making deals, Trump told reporters, highlighting the geopolitical complexities overshadowing trade negotiations.
Meanwhile, trade talks with India are progressing rapidly. Trump noted that the U.S. is “very close” to securing an interim agreement with New Delhi by early July.
Indian Trade Minister Piyush Goyal’s recent visit to Washington advanced discussions, with India facing 26% tariffs on its U.S.-bound exports. Sources indicate India is prepared to open contracts worth over $50 billion, primarily from federal entities, to U.S. firms as part of the negotiations, according to Reuters.
The contrasting tariff rates of 29% for Pakistan and 26% for India reflect the U.S.’s tailored approach to addressing trade imbalances. However, the simultaneous talks with both nations highlight Washington’s delicate balancing act in South Asia, where economic leverage intersects with strategic concerns over regional stability.
WHAT YOU SHOULD KNOW
As Pakistan’s delegation prepares for next week’s talks, the stakes are high. A failure to secure tariff relief could strain Pakistan’s economy, already grappling with inflation and debt challenges.
For the U.S., the negotiations offer an opportunity to reduce trade deficits while reinforcing its influence in a volatile region. Whether the talks can proceed without being derailed by India-Pakistan tensions remains an open question.